Player pulse · NFL 2026

Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs · QB · 10th Season

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KC QB; PPR rank 114 and ADP 107.9. Availability is listed as Questionable.

PPR rank

#114

ADP

107.9

No material move

Rostered

85%

Availability

Questionable

Aug 13, 4:00 PM

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Scoring lens

Projection and history use the same format.

Standard Half-PPR PPR

01 · Forecast

Projected range

Standard season points

Floor241.8

Median276.7

Ceiling317.7

THE LINEUP component model p10, p50 and p90 season outcomes. These are ranges, not guarantees. Sample context: 33 observed games. Updated Aug 23, 8:33 AM.

02 · Observed

Performance trajectory

Recorded games only; unavailable weeks stay unavailable.

Average

19.0

Volatility

6.8

Loading recorded trajectory

03 · Draft context

Draft value

Fairly priced

Model rank and ADP differ by 6.1 slots. Classification changes only beyond the explicit 12-slot threshold and does not guarantee performance.

04 · Same-position neighbors

Comparable players

Compare directly

Brock PurdySF · QBADP 103.8

Ordered by same-position z-normalized projected, usage and draft features.

Risks and uncertainty

Questionable
Mahomes (knee) won't play in Kansas City's preseason opener against the Rams on Saturday, Matt McMullen of the Chiefs' official site reports.

05 · Evidence delta

What changed?

No tracked field crossed a material-change threshold.
Evidence updated Aug 23, 3:30 PM

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