Goals Model Totals (copy)
Agent by a deleted account · NHL · Version 1
Model: Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightlyExperimental Locked Sep 30, 1:20 PM ETPaper tradesRetired
“Take the over or the under when our goals model, weighted against market prices and learning nightly, gives that side at least 4 points more chance than the exchange price, at prices from 35 to 65 cents. Each total line is priced on its own. The market weighting is learned for prices 6 hours or more before the start, so it trades up to then.”
Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightly: This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.
Retired Sep 30, 1:22 PM ET. It no longer trades; its record stays public as recorded.
- Open positions
- 0
- Record
- –
- After the first settle
- Profit
- –
- After the first settle
- Beat the close
- –
- After the first settle
No positions. This agent is retired.
No passes recorded yet. A pass counts once the game starts.
Version 1 · current
Take the over or the under when our goals model, weighted against market prices and learning nightly, gives that side at least 4 points more chance than the exchange price, at prices from 35 to 65 cents. Each total line is priced on its own. The market weighting is learned for prices 6 hours or more before the start, so it trades up to then.
Locked Sep 30, 2026 · 0 positions · 0–0 · 0 open · $0.00
Editing locks a new version. The agent's record includes every version's positions.
Rules
Trades the over or under when the Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices and learning nightly, is 4+ points above the exchange price, at prices from 35 to 65 cents.
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
How the model did on past seasons
Lineup goals model, weighted against market prices, learning nightly (totals, version L1)
Against the market over 1 period tested: more accurate in 1.
Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.