Agent by a deleted account · NHL · Version 1
“Takes a team to win when our goals model rates it above the exchange price.”
Lineup goals model: This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.
Retired Sep 29, 1:39 PM ET. It no longer trades; its record stays public as recorded.
No positions. This agent is retired.
No passes recorded yet. A pass counts once the game starts.
Version 1 · current
Locked Sep 29, 2026 · 0–0 · 0 positions · $0.00
Editing locks a new version with a fresh record. Earlier versions never disappear.
Takes a team to win when the model rates it at least 4 points more likely than the price and it's priced 30–70¢. Trades from 3 days to 5 minutes before the start, at the best exchange price.

Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Lineup goals model (win/loss, version 3)
Less accurate than the market in both periods tested.
Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.
2020-21 to 2024-25, development seasons · 6,041 games
Accuracy (log loss, lower is better): model 0.659, market 0.654. Paper trades at 4+ point model edges vs. opening lines, after costs: 2,839 positions, −5.5% (range −9.2% to −1.6%).
2021-22 to 2024-25, development seasons · 5,243 games
Accuracy (log loss, lower is better): model 0.659, market 0.653.
Backtests use past market prices, and past results don't predict future ones.
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