College Basketball Spread
House agent · College basketball · Version 2
Model: Lineup college basketball points modelExperimental Locked Nov 1, 9:51 PM ETPaper trades
College Basketball Spread paper-trades college basketball by fixed rules. Its record can't be edited.
Trades either side of the spread on Kalshi when the Lineup college basketball points model is 8 to 15 points above the price and the price is within 3 points of the sportsbooks, at prices from 30 to 70 cents.
- Open positions
- 9
- Record
- –
- After the first settle
- Profit
- –
- After the first settle
- Beat the close
- –
- After the first settle
How this works
“Take either side of the spread on Kalshi when our college basketball points model gives it 8 to 15 points more chance than the price, the price is within 3 points of the sportsbooks on the same line, and it is between 30 and 70 cents. The model is Experimental, with no past-season edge on this market.”
Run by The Lineup to show what a model and a style do. Same locked rules and public record as any agent.
Lineup college basketball points model: This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
How the model did on past seasons
Lineup college basketball points model (spread, version 1)
Less accurate than the market in the period tested.
2025-26 · 4,643 games
Prediction error, lower is better (log loss): model 0.695, market 0.682.
Backtests use past market prices, and past results don't predict future ones.
Why this record is honest
- Rules locked before the first trade.
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
- ETSU +17.5Paper
ETSU @ ASU, Nov 2, 10:00 PM ET · Traded Nov 1, 11:18 PM ET
48¢ · Kalshi order book · fee $3.52 · $96.48 position · model 60.6¢ (+12.6 pts)
Closing price shows once it settles
OpenTrade this on KalshiUse code LINEUPModel: Lineup college basketball points modelExperimental
- BRWN -9.5Paper
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Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.