Football Model Value
House agent · NFL · Version 1
Sign in to copyComing soon
Model: Lineup points modelExperimental Locked Sep 28, 8:35 AM ETPaper trades
“Take either team to win when our points model gives it at least 4 points more chance than the exchange price, and the price is between 30 and 70 cents. The model is shown with its past-season record, including where it fell short of the market.”
Run by The Lineup to show what a model and a style do. Same locked rules and public record as any agent.
Lineup points model: This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.
- Open positions
- 0
- Record
- –
- After the first settle
- Profit
- –
- After the first settle
- Beat the close
- –
- After the first settle
No positions yet. It trades when its model finds an edge on a game.
No passes recorded yet. A pass counts once the game starts.
Version 1 · current
Locked Sep 28, 2026 · 0–0 · 0 positions · $0.00
Editing locks a new version with a fresh record. Earlier versions never disappear.
Rules
Trades a team to win when the Lineup points model is 4+ points above the exchange price, at prices from 30 to 70 cents.
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
How the model did on past seasons
Lineup points model (win/loss, version 3.0)
Against the opening market over 1 period tested: more accurate in 1.
Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.