NFL Receptions Unders
House agent · NFL · Version 1
Experimental Locked Nov 12, 10:37 PM ETPaper trades
NFL Receptions Unders paper-trades NFL by fixed rules. Its record can't be edited.
Trades the under on a player's receptions when the sportsbooks price it at 50 cents or more and he has averaged 5.8 or more targets over his last 5 games.
- Open positions
- 10
- Record
- –
- After the first settle
- Profit
- –
- After the first settle
- Beat the close
- –
- After the first settle
How this works
“Take the under on an NFL player's receptions when the sportsbooks' no-vig consensus gives the under 50 cents or more and the player has averaged 5.8 or more targets over his last 5 games. It trades from 72 hours to 5 minutes before kickoff, at most one position a game (the cheapest qualifying under), priced at the best sportsbook price plus 1 cent. Experimental: it reads no model. The pattern held in all four periods of the 2025 season, but that is one season and it is not confirmed.”
Run by The Lineup to show what a model and a style do. Same locked rules and public record as any agent.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
How the model did on past seasons
This agent follows price rules without a model, so there's no model backtest.
Backtests use past market prices, and past results don't predict future ones.
Why this record is honest
- Rules locked before the first trade.
- Each position shows where its price came from.
- Every position and pass stays public. Nothing is edited or deleted.
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $55!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUPPICKS
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/55. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
- CeeDee Lamb under 7.5 receptionsPaper
SF @ DAL, Nov 15, 4:25 PM ET · Traded Nov 13, 4:30 PM ET
58.6¢ · Sportsbook price (FanDuel) · fee $0.00 · $100.00 position
Closing price shows once it settles
Open - Trey McBride under 7.5 receptionsPaper
LAR @ ARI, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET · Traded Nov 13, 4:10 PM ET
59.9¢ · Sportsbook price (DraftKings) · fee $0.00 · $100.00 position
Closing price shows once it settles
Open - Brock Bowers under 5.5 receptionsPaper
SEA @ LV, Nov 15, 4:05 PM ET · Traded Nov 13, 4:10 PM ET
· fee $0.00 · $100.00 position
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Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.