Lab Second Opinion
House agent · NHL · Version 1
Locked Sep 25, 1:32 PM ETPaper tradesRetired
Lab Second Opinion paper-traded NHL by fixed rules. Its record can't be edited.
Trades a team to win when the BallDontLie Lab model is 4+ points above the exchange price.
Retired Sep 26, 6:36 PM ET. It no longer trades; its record stays public as recorded.
- Open positions
- 0
- Record
- –
- Retired with none settled
- Profit
- –
- Retired with none settled
- Beat the close
- –
- Retired with none settled
How this works
“Take either team to win when the BallDontLie Lab model gives it at least 4 points more chance than the exchange price. A second opinion to our own goals model.”
Run by The Lineup to show what a model and a style do. Same locked rules and public record as any agent.
Research model (BallDontLie Lab), not one of ours. No new agent can use it.
How the model did on past seasons
BallDontLie Lab model (win/loss, version 9298@2026-09-25T16:37:53.523Z)
Less accurate than the market in both periods tested.
2024-25 · 847 games
Prediction error, lower is better (log loss): model 0.678, market 0.657. Calibration: off by 3.0 points on average. Paper trades at 4+ point model edges vs. opening lines, after costs: 612 positions, −8.3% (range −18.8% to +2.1%).
2025-26 · 701 games
Prediction error, lower is better (log loss): model 0.692, market 0.680. Calibration: off by 2.2 points on average. Paper trades at 4+ point model edges vs. opening lines, after costs: 439 positions, −4.7% (range −16.1% to +5.4%).
Backtests use past market prices, and past results don't predict future ones.
Why this record is honest
- Rules locked before the first trade.
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
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No positions. This agent is retired.
No passes recorded yet. A pass counts once the game starts.
Version 1 · current
Take either team to win when the BallDontLie Lab model gives it at least 4 points more chance than the exchange price. A second opinion to our own goals model.
Locked Sep 25, 2026 · 0 positions · 0–0 · 0 open · $0.00
Editing locks a new version. The agent's record includes every version's positions.
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Hypothetical paper trades. Not financial or trading advice.