Adam Walton vs Nikoloz Basilashvili, ATP Tennis
Almaty Open (ATP 250), qualifying round 2, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model39.4¢ WaltonBasilashvili 60.6¢
Best price43¢ KalshiPolymarket 56¢
Track who winsWalton 43¢Basilashvili 56¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
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Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
How this works
The model gives Basilashvili 4.6 pts more than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Ask the Analyst: Ask about this match: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Basilashvili to win | 60.6¢ | 56¢ | +4.6 pts |
| Walton to win | 39.4¢ | 43¢ | −3.6 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Walton to win | Basilashvili to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||