Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel, ATP Tennis
Bybit Stockholm Open (ATP 250), qualifying round 2, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model49.2¢ MannarinoSamuel 50.8¢
Best price53¢ PolymarketPolymarket 50¢
Track who winsMannarino 53¢Samuel 50¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
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How this works
Best price on both sides: Polymarket. The model gives Mannarino 3.8 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel to win | 50.8¢ | 50¢ | +0.8 pts |
| Mannarino to win | 49.2¢ | 53¢ | −3.8 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Mannarino to win | Samuel to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||