Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Moise Kouame, ATP Tennis
Rolex Paris Masters (Masters 1000), round of 64, hard court
Our model sees an edge on Davidovich Fokina to win (moneyline).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model88.7¢ Davidovich FokinaKouame 11.3¢
Best price73¢ PolymarketPolymarket 28¢
Track who winsDavidovich Fokina 73¢Kouame 28¢
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Edges
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesDavidovich Fokina to win
+13.7 pts
We give Davidovich Fokina a 89% chance to win.
Our model 88.7¢Best price 75¢ at DraftKings
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
How this works
Best price on both sides: Polymarket. The model gives Kouame 16.7 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kouame to win | 11.3¢ | 28¢ | −16.7 pts |
| Davidovich Fokina to win | 88.7¢ | 73¢ | +15.7 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Davidovich Fokina to win | Kouame to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||