Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier, ATP Tennis
Rolex Paris Masters (Masters 1000), qualifying round 1, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model60.3¢ MolcanAltmaier 39.7¢
Best price53¢ PolymarketKalshi 44¢
Track who winsMolcan 53¢Altmaier 44¢
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How this works
The model gives Molcan 7.3 pts more than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Altmaier to win | 39.7¢ | 44¢ | −4.3 pts |
| Molcan to win | 60.3¢ | 53¢ | +7.3 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Molcan to win | Altmaier to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||