Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov, ATP Tennis
Almaty Open (ATP 250), quarterfinal, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model53.2¢ BublikKhachanov 46.8¢
Best price53¢ KalshiDraftKings 45.9¢
Track who winsBublik 53¢Khachanov 45.9¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
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How this works
The model and the best price agree within a point. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Khachanov to win | 46.8¢ | 45.9¢ | +0.9 pts |
| Bublik to win | 53.2¢ | 53¢ | +0.2 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Bublik to win | Khachanov to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||