Arthur Rinderknech vs Francisco Cerundolo, ATP Tennis
Rolex Paris Masters (Masters 1000), round of 64, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model39.3¢ RinderknechCerundolo 60.7¢
Best price36¢ PolymarketPolymarket 65¢
Track who winsRinderknech 36¢Cerundolo 65¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
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How this works
Best price on both sides: Polymarket. The model gives Cerundolo 4.3 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cerundolo to win | 60.7¢ | 65¢ | −4.3 pts |
| Rinderknech to win | 39.3¢ | 36¢ | +3.3 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Rinderknech to win | Cerundolo to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||