Clement Chidekh vs Jacob Fearnley, ATP Tennis
BNP Paribas Fortis European Open (ATP 250), round of 16, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model32.9¢ ChidekhFearnley 67.1¢
Best price49¢ PolymarketDraftKings 51.5¢
Track who winsChidekh 49¢Fearnley 51.5¢
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How this works
The model gives Chidekh 16.1 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fearnley to win | 67.1¢ | 51.5¢ | +15.6 pts |
| Chidekh to win | 32.9¢ | 49¢ | −16.1 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Chidekh to win | Fearnley to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||