Fabian Marozsan vs Timofey Skatov, ATP Tennis
Almaty Open (ATP 250), round of 32, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model64.7¢ MarozsanSkatov 35.3¢
Best price94¢ KalshiKalshi 94¢
Track who winsMarozsan 94¢Skatov 94¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
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Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
How this works
Best price on both sides: Kalshi. The model gives Skatov 58.7 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Ask the Analyst: Ask about this match: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Skatov to win | 35.3¢ | 94¢ | −58.7 pts |
| Marozsan to win | 64.7¢ | 94¢ | −29.3 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Marozsan to win | Skatov to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||