Francisco Cerundolo vs Tallon Griekspoor, ATP Tennis
BNP Paribas Fortis European Open (ATP 250), semifinal, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model64.4¢ CerundoloGriekspoor 35.6¢
Best price63¢ KalshiPolymarket 38¢
Track who winsCerundolo 63¢Griekspoor 38¢
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How this works
The model gives Griekspoor 2.4 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Griekspoor to win | 35.6¢ | 38¢ | −2.4 pts |
| Cerundolo to win | 64.4¢ | 63¢ | +1.4 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Cerundolo to win | Griekspoor to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||