Hugo Gaston vs Vit Kopriva, ATP Tennis
Rolex Paris Masters (Masters 1000), qualifying round 1, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model51.4¢ GastonKopriva 48.6¢
Best price67¢ PolymarketKalshi 33¢
Track who winsGaston 67¢Kopriva 33¢
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How this works
The model gives Kopriva 15.6 pts more than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kopriva to win | 48.6¢ | 33¢ | +15.6 pts |
| Gaston to win | 51.4¢ | 67¢ | −15.6 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Gaston to win | Kopriva to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||