James Duckworth vs Miomir Kecmanovic, ATP Tennis
Rolex Paris Masters (Masters 1000), qualifying round 1, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model53.7¢ DuckworthKecmanovic 46.3¢
Best price42¢ PolymarketKalshi 59¢
Track who winsDuckworth 42¢Kecmanovic 59¢
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How this works
The model gives Kecmanovic 12.7 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kecmanovic to win | 46.3¢ | 59¢ | −12.7 pts |
| Duckworth to win | 53.7¢ | 42¢ | +11.7 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Duckworth to win | Kecmanovic to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||