Jan Kumstat vs Michael Mmoh, ATP Tennis
Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes (ATP 250), qualifying round 1, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model23.2¢ KumstatMmoh 76.8¢
Best price49¢ PolymarketKalshi 51¢
Track who winsKumstat 49¢Mmoh 51¢
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Kalshi
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How this works
The model gives Mmoh 25.8 pts more than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mmoh to win | 76.8¢ | 51¢ | +25.8 pts |
| Kumstat to win | 23.2¢ | 49¢ | −25.8 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Kumstat to win | Mmoh to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||