Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili, ATP Tennis
Erste Bank Open (ATP 500), round of 32, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model45.8¢ RodionovBasilashvili 54.2¢
Best price44.3¢ FanDuelPolymarket 56¢
Track who winsRodionov 44.3¢Basilashvili 56¢
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How this works
The model gives Basilashvili 1.8 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Basilashvili to win | 54.2¢ | 56¢ | −1.8 pts |
| Rodionov to win | 45.8¢ | 44.3¢ | +1.6 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Rodionov to win | Basilashvili to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||