Jurij Rodionov vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert, ATP Tennis
Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes (ATP 250), qualifying round 1, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model72.3¢ RodionovHerbert 27.7¢
Best price55¢ KalshiPolymarket 46¢
Track who winsRodionov 55¢Herbert 46¢
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How this works
The model gives Herbert 18.3 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert to win | 27.7¢ | 46¢ | −18.3 pts |
| Rodionov to win | 72.3¢ | 55¢ | +17.3 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Rodionov to win | Herbert to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||