Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche, ATP Tennis
Rolex Paris Masters (Masters 1000), round of 16, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model75.5¢ MusettiVan Assche 24.5¢
Best price72¢ PolymarketKalshi 28¢
Track who winsMusetti 72¢Van Assche 28¢
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How this works
The model gives Musetti 3.5 pts more than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Van Assche to win | 24.5¢ | 28¢ | −3.5 pts |
| Musetti to win | 75.5¢ | 72¢ | +3.5 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Musetti to win | Van Assche to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||