Martin Damm vs Andrea Guerrieri, ATP Tennis
BNP Paribas Fortis European Open (ATP 250), qualifying round 2, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model55.4¢ DammGuerrieri 44.6¢
Best price71¢ PolymarketPolymarket 30¢
Track who winsDamm 71¢Guerrieri 30¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
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How this works
Best price on both sides: Polymarket. The model gives Damm 15.6 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guerrieri to win | 44.6¢ | 30¢ | +14.6 pts |
| Damm to win | 55.4¢ | 71¢ | −15.6 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Damm to win | Guerrieri to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||