Mattia Bellucci vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry, ATP Tennis
Almaty Open (ATP 250), round of 32, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model45.7¢ BellucciEtcheverry 54.3¢
Best price53.3¢ DraftKingsDraftKings 51.5¢
Track who winsBellucci 53.3¢Etcheverry 51.5¢
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How this works
Best price on both sides: DraftKings. The model gives Bellucci 7.6 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Etcheverry to win | 54.3¢ | 51.5¢ | +2.9 pts |
| Bellucci to win | 45.7¢ | 53.3¢ | −7.6 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Bellucci to win | Etcheverry to win |
|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | ||