Pablo Carreno Busta vs Mattia Bellucci, ATP Tennis
Rolex Paris Masters (Masters 1000), qualifying round 1, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model56.8¢ Carreno BustaBellucci 43.2¢
Best price43¢ PolymarketKalshi 57¢
Track who winsCarreno Busta 43¢Bellucci 57¢
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How this works
The model gives Carreno Busta 13.8 pts more than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bellucci to win | 43.2¢ | 57¢ | −13.8 pts |
| Carreno Busta to win | 56.8¢ | 43¢ | +13.8 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Carreno Busta to win | Bellucci to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||