Tallon Griekspoor vs Jiri Lehecka, ATP Tennis
BNP Paribas Fortis European Open (ATP 250), quarterfinal, hard court
Our model sees an edge on Lehecka to win (moneyline).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model21.3¢ GriekspoorLehecka 78.8¢
Best price28¢ KalshiDraftKings 73.8¢
Track who winsGriekspoor 28¢Lehecka 73.8¢
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Edges
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesLehecka to win
+5.0 pts
We give Lehecka a 79% chance to win.
Our model 78.8¢Best price 73.8¢ at DraftKings
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
How this works
The model gives Griekspoor 6.8 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lehecka to win | 78.8¢ | 73.8¢ | +5.0 pts |
| Griekspoor to win | 21.3¢ | 28¢ | −6.7 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Griekspoor to win | Lehecka to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||