Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata, ATP Tennis
Swiss Indoors Basel (ATP 500), round of 32, hard court
Our model sees an edge on Hijikata to win (moneyline).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model76.8¢ FritzHijikata 23.3¢
Best price88¢ PolymarketFanDuel 12.5¢
Track who winsFritz 88¢Hijikata 12.5¢
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Edges
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesHijikata to win
+10.8 pts
We give Hijikata a 23% chance to win.
Our model 23.3¢Best price 12.5¢ at FanDuel
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
How this works
The model gives Fritz 11.3 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hijikata to win | 23.3¢ | 12.5¢ | +10.8 pts |
| Fritz to win | 76.8¢ | 88¢ | −11.2 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Fritz to win | Hijikata to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||