Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Max Dahlin, ATP Tennis
Bybit Stockholm Open (ATP 250), round of 32, hard court
Our model sees an edge on Etcheverry to win (moneyline).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model85.7¢ EtcheverryDahlin 14.3¢
Best price80.3¢ DraftKingsDraftKings 24.6¢
Track who winsEtcheverry 80.3¢Dahlin 24.6¢
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Edges
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesEtcheverry to win
+5.4 pts
We give Etcheverry a 86% chance to win.
Our model 85.7¢Best price 80.3¢ at DraftKings
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
How this works
Best price on both sides: DraftKings. The model gives Dahlin 10.3 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dahlin to win | 14.3¢ | 24.6¢ | −10.3 pts |
| Etcheverry to win | 85.7¢ | 80.3¢ | +5.4 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Etcheverry to win | Dahlin to win |
|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | ||