Z. Nurlanuly vs Tomas Machac, ATP Tennis
Almaty Open (ATP 250), round of 32, hard court
No edge from our model in this match.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup ATP ratings modelExperimental
Model13.8¢ NurlanulyMachac 86.2¢
Best price5¢ DraftKingsDraftKings 99.8¢
Track who winsNurlanuly 5¢Machac 99.8¢
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How this works
Best price on both sides: DraftKings. The model gives Machac 13.6 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup ATP ratings model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Machac to win | 86.2¢ | 99.8¢ | −13.6 pts |
| Nurlanuly to win | 13.8¢ | 5¢ | +8.8 pts |
Prices by source
Lowest price is best| Source | Nurlanuly to win | Machac to win |
|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | ||