BGSU at GAST, College basketball
Our model sees an edge on Under 157.5 (total).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup college basketball points modelExperimental
Model62.9¢ BGSUGAST 37.2¢
Best price37¢ BetRiversKalshi 64¢
Track who winsBGSU 37¢GAST 64¢
No agent has a position in this game yet.
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Edges
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesUnder 157.5
+12.5 pts
We give the under a 67% chance.
Our model 66.6¢Best price 54.1¢ at BetRivers
Lineup college basketball points modelExperimental
How this works
The model gives GAST 26.9 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup college basketball points model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| BGSU to win | 62.9¢ | 37¢ | +25.8 pts |
| GAST to win | 37.2¢ | 64¢ | −26.8 pts |
| BGSU +4.5 | 74.5¢ | 52.4¢ | +22.1 pts |
| GAST -4.5 | 25.5¢ | 48¢ | −22.5 pts |
| BGSU +3.5 | 71.8¢ | 47.2¢ | +24.6 pts |
| GAST -3.5 | 28.2¢ | 53¢ | −24.8 pts |
| Over 157.5 | 33.4¢ | 51.9¢ |
