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George Mason Patriots at Bradley Braves: Kalshi prices and model prediction
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How this works The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Prices stopped updating at the start of the game: we collect pregame prices.
How it went Score by period Team H1 H2 T GMU 31 30 61 BRAD 27 35 62
Scoring H2 0:02 · BRAD · Xander Alarie makes 6-foot jumper · 61-62 H2 2:00 · BRAD · Trevon Payton makes 26-foot three point jumper · 61-60 H2 3:16 · GMU · Baraka Okojie makes layup · 61-57 H2 3:29 · BRAD · Timoty van der Knaap makes free throw 2 of 2 · 59-57 H2 3:29 · BRAD · Timoty van der Knaap makes free throw 1 of 2 · 59-56 H2 4:00 · BRAD · Trevon Payton makes 8-foot jumper · 59-55 Show all 70 H2 4:31 · GMU · Emmanuel Kanga makes 14-foot jumper · 59-53 H2 4:51 · BRAD · Jackson Seastrunk makes layup · 57-53 H2 5:44 · BRAD · Noah Williams makes 0-foot tip in layup · 57-51 H2 6:33 · GMU · Emmanuel Kanga makes free throw 1 of 2 · 57-49 H2 7:04 · GMU · Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor makes 3-foot dunk · 56-49
H2 7:22 · GMU · Baraka Okojie makes free throw 1 of 2 · 54-49
H2 7:46 · GMU · Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor makes free throw 2 of 2 · 53-49
H2 7:46 · GMU · Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor makes free throw 1 of 2 · 52-49
H2 8:00 · BRAD · Xander Alarie makes free throw 2 of 2 · 51-49
H2 8:00 · BRAD · Xander Alarie makes free throw 1 of 2 · 51-48
H2 8:34 · BRAD · Jackson Seastrunk makes layup · 51-47
H2 9:26 · GMU · Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor makes layup · 51-45
H2 10:16 · BRAD · Xander Alarie makes layup (Jackson Seastrunk assists) · 49-45
H2 10:33 · GMU · Baraka Okojie makes layup · 49-43
H2 11:18 · BRAD · Xander Alarie makes 27-foot three point jumper (Max Gaspa assists) · 47-43
H2 11:29 · GMU · Makhai Valentine makes free throw 3 of 3 · 47-40
H2 11:29 · GMU · Makhai Valentine makes free throw 2 of 3 · 46-40
H2 11:29 · GMU · Makhai Valentine makes free throw 1 of 3 · 45-40
H2 12:43 · GMU · Shane Pendergrass makes 30-foot three point jumper (Baraka Okojie assists) · 44-40
H2 13:01 · BRAD · Noah Williams makes free throw 2 of 2 · 41-40
H2 13:01 · BRAD · Noah Williams makes free throw 1 of 2 · 41-39
H2 13:24 · GMU · Brayden O'Connor makes 23-foot three point jumper (Baraka Okojie assists) · 41-38
H2 14:07 · GMU · Shane Pendergrass makes 25-foot three point jumper (Makhai Valentine assists) · 38-38
H2 15:18 · BRAD · Trevon Payton makes 26-foot three point jumper (Xander Alarie assists) · 35-38
H2 15:54 · BRAD · Trevon Payton makes 29-foot three point jumper · 35-35
H2 16:32 · BRAD · Xander Alarie makes 23-foot three point jumper (Trevon Payton assists) · 35-32
H2 17:27 · GMU · Emmanuel Kanga makes layup · 35-29
H2 19:10 · BRAD · Timoty van der Knaap makes layup · 33-29
H2 19:31 · GMU · Brayden O'Connor makes layup · 33-27
H1 0:08 · BRAD · Max Gaspa makes free throw 3 of 3 · 31-27
H1 0:08 · BRAD · Max Gaspa makes free throw 2 of 3 · 31-26
H1 0:08 · BRAD · Max Gaspa makes free throw 1 of 3 · 31-25
H1 0:37 · GMU · Brayden O'Connor makes 9-foot jumper · 31-24
H1 1:42 · GMU · Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor makes layup · 29-24
H1 1:56 · BRAD · Ben Thornbrue makes free throw 2 of 2 · 27-24
H1 1:56 · BRAD · Ben Thornbrue makes free throw 1 of 2 · 27-23
H1 2:25 · GMU · Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor makes layup · 27-22
H1 2:49 · GMU · Brayden O'Connor makes free throw 2 of 2 · 25-22
H1 2:49 · GMU · Brayden O'Connor makes free throw 1 of 2 · 24-22
H1 2:59 · BRAD · Ben Thornbrue makes free throw 2 of 2 · 23-22
H1 2:59 · BRAD · Ben Thornbrue makes free throw 1 of 2 · 23-21
H1 3:38 · GMU · Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor makes free throw 2 of 2 · 23-20
H1 4:23 · BRAD · Ben Thornbrue makes 24-foot three point jumper (Kyle Grill assists) · 22-20
H1 4:56 · GMU · Michael Marcus Jr. makes layup (Brayden O'Connor assists) · 22-17
H1 5:33 · GMU · Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor makes free throw 2 of 2 · 20-17
H1 5:33 · GMU · Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor makes free throw 1 of 2 · 19-17
H1 6:24 · GMU · Elijah Jones makes 5-foot alley oop dunk · 18-17
H1 6:55 · GMU · Michael Marcus Jr. makes layup · 16-17
H1 6:59 · BRAD · Kyle Grill makes free throw 2 of 2 · 14-17
H1 6:59 · BRAD · Kyle Grill makes free throw 1 of 2 · 14-16
H1 8:56 · GMU · Emmanuel Kanga makes 4-foot jumper · 14-15
H1 9:31 · GMU · Emmanuel Kanga makes 3-foot jumper · 12-15
H1 10:22 · GMU · Emmanuel Kanga makes layup (Baraka Okojie assists) · 10-15
H1 10:48 · BRAD · Gustavo Guimares makes 0-foot tip in layup · 8-15
H1 13:22 · GMU · Baraka Okojie makes free throw 2 of 2 · 8-13
H1 13:22 · GMU · Baraka Okojie makes free throw 1 of 2 · 7-13
H1 13:40 · BRAD · Max Gaspa makes 25-foot three point jumper (Timoty van der Knaap assists) · 6-13
H1 14:11 · BRAD · Xander Alarie makes 9-foot jumper · 6-10
H1 14:25 · GMU · Brayden O'Connor makes layup · 6-8
H1 14:41 · BRAD · Max Gaspa makes 23-foot three point jumper (Kyle Grill assists) · 4-8
H1 16:39 · BRAD · Trevon Payton makes layup · 4-5
H1 17:23 · GMU · Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor makes free throw 2 of 2 · 4-3
H1 17:38 · BRAD · Xander Alarie makes 30-foot three point jumper (Trevon Payton assists) · 3-3
H1 18:53 · GMU · Brayden O'Connor makes 26-foot three point jumper (Baraka Okojie assists) · 3-0 Box score George Mason Patriots
George Mason Patriots player stats Player MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK 3PM TO FG Brayden O'Connor 34 14 7 1 1 0 2 3 5-9 Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor 31 14 1 0 1 1 0 3 4-6 Emmanuel Kanga 30 11 13 0 1 0 0 2 5-9 Baraka Okojie 30 7 0 5 1 0 0 2 2-7 Elijah Jones 23 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 1-5 Shane Pendergrass 16 6 0 0 0 0 2 0 2-8 Makhai Valentine 15 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0-1 Malik Presley 11 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0-0 Michael Marcus Jr. 6 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 2-2 Emmett Adair 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0-1
Did not play: Ben Woodward, Bryton Barrett, James Nnaji, Lilian Marville, Peyton Miller, Ryan-Preston Mendy, T.J. Prosise
Bradley Braves
Bradley Braves player stats Player MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK 3PM TO FG Timoty van der Knaap 30 4 3 1 2 0 0 2 1-7 Noah Williams 28 4 5 0 0 1 0 1 1-6 Xander Alarie 26 17 5 1 0 0
Our model Lineup college basketball points model Experimental This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live. Lineup college basketball points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract Contract Model Best price Model vs. best price GMU to win 19.8¢ 13¢ +6.8 pts BRAD to win 80.2¢ 88¢ −7.8 pts GMU +12.5 56.6¢ 52¢ +4.6 pts BRAD -12.5 43.4¢ 48¢ −4.6 pts GMU +12 54.9¢ 52.4¢ +2.5 pts BRAD -12 45.2¢ 52.4¢ −7.2 pts Over 130.5 61.6¢ 51¢ +10.6 pts Under 130.5 38.4¢ 50¢ −11.6 pts
Price movement BRAD to win
Nov 13, 4:18 PM Nov 14, 1:00 PM ET
Polymarket Kalshi BetMGM BetRivers
Price history for BRAD to win by source, in cents Price history for BRAD to win by source, in cents Series Time (ET) Price Polymarket Nov 13, 8:03 PM 88¢ Polymarket Nov 13, 8:18 PM 86¢ Polymarket Nov 13, 8:23 PM 88¢ Polymarket Nov 13, 10:08 PM 87¢ Polymarket Nov 13, 10:23 PM 88¢ Polymarket Nov 13, 10:28 PM 89¢ Polymarket Nov 13, 10:48 PM 90¢ Polymarket Nov 13, 11:13 PM 89¢ Polymarket Nov 13, 11:38 PM 90¢ Polymarket Nov 13, 11:43 PM 89¢ Polymarket Nov 13, 11:53 PM 90¢ Polymarket Nov 13, 11:58 PM 89¢ Polymarket Nov 14, 12:03 AM 90¢ Polymarket Nov 14, 12:23 AM 89¢ Polymarket Nov 14, 11:10 AM 88¢ Kalshi Nov 13, 4:18 PM 85¢ Kalshi Nov 13, 4:38 PM 87¢ Kalshi Nov 13, 6:03 PM 88¢ Kalshi Nov 13, 6:18 PM 87¢ Kalshi Nov 13, 7:03 PM 88¢ Kalshi Nov 13, 10:13 PM 87¢ Kalshi Nov 13, 10:23 PM 88¢ Kalshi Nov 13, 10:33 PM 89¢
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Sign up Picks and reasoning Analyst (AI) passed: Out of the run's time budget; this game was not read
Paper trades.
Prices from Kalshi, Polymarket and sportsbooks via our data provider. Paper trades only.
Ben Thornbrue 25 7 1 0 1 0 1 2 1-7
Trevon Payton 20 13 0 2 1 0 3 0 5-8
Jackson Seastrunk 18 4 2 1 1 0 0 0 2-5
Dimitrije Pavlovic 6 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0-1
Gustavo Guimares 5 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1-1
Did not play: Dietrich Richardson, Georgi Gerganov, Gus Rugaard, Josh Ibukunoluwa, Race Kowalczyk
53.3¢
1 more line GMU +12 / BRAD -12
Spread, GMU +12 or BRAD -12, prices by source Source GMU +12 BRAD -12 Sportsbooks Fanatics 52.4¢ best price 52.4¢ best price
52.4¢
Kalshi Nov 14, 12:18 AM 89¢
Kalshi Nov 14, 12:48 AM 90¢
Kalshi Nov 14, 10:13 AM 88¢
Kalshi Nov 14, 10:43 AM 89¢
Kalshi Nov 14, 11:09 AM 88¢
BetMGM Nov 13, 7:03 PM 88.2¢
BetMGM Nov 13, 10:08 PM 88.9¢
BetMGM Nov 13, 10:23 PM 90¢
BetMGM Nov 13, 10:28 PM 91.7¢
BetMGM Nov 14, 11:06 AM 90.9¢
BetMGM Nov 14, 11:09 AM 90¢
BetMGM Nov 14, 12:15 PM 88.9¢
BetMGM Nov 14, 12:17 PM 90¢
BetRivers Nov 13, 11:58 PM 91.8¢
BetRivers Nov 14, 6:28 AM 92.6¢
BetRivers Nov 14, 8:03 AM 91.8¢
BetRivers Nov 14, 9:58 AM 92.6¢
BetRivers Nov 14, 10:33 AM 90.9¢