IDST at USU, College basketball
Our model sees an edge on Over 146.5 (total).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup college basketball points modelExperimental
Model4.9¢ IDSTUSU 95.1¢
Best price2¢ FanaticsBetMGM 99¢
Track who winsIDST 2¢USU 99¢
No agent has a position in this game yet.
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Kalshi
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Edges
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesOver 146.5
+14.1 pts
We give the over a 67% chance.
Our model 66.5¢Best price 52.4¢ at Fanatics
Lineup college basketball points modelExperimental
How this works
The model gives USU 3.9 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup college basketball points model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDST to win | 4.9¢ | 2¢ | +2.9 pts |
| USU to win | 95.1¢ | 99¢ | −3.9 pts |
| IDST +26.5 | 70¢ | 53¢ | +17.0 pts |
| USU -26.5 | 30¢ | 48¢ | −18.0 pts |
| IDST +26 | 69.1¢ | 52.4¢ | +16.7 pts |
| USU -26 | 30.9¢ | 52.4¢ | −21.4 pts |
| Over 146.5 | 66.5¢ | 52.4¢ |
