MERC at MARQ, College basketball
Our model sees an edge on Under 150.5 (total).
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup college basketball points modelExperimental
Model5.4¢ MERCMARQ 94.7¢
Best price2.2¢ FanaticsKalshi 98¢
Track who winsMERC 2.2¢MARQ 98¢
No agent has a position in this game yet.
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Edges
At sportsbooks
Sportsbook pricesUnder 150.5
+7.2 pts
We give the under a 64% chance.
Our model 63.7¢Best price 56.5¢ at BetRivers
Lineup college basketball points modelExperimental
How this works
The model gives MARQ 3.4 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
Experimental: these models haven't beaten market prices yet. They run with the owner's approval while we test them live.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Our model
Lineup college basketball points model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERC to win | 5.4¢ | 2.2¢ | +3.2 pts |
| MARQ to win | 94.7¢ | 98¢ | −3.3 pts |
| MERC +30.5 | 81.4¢ | 52¢ | +29.4 pts |
| MARQ -30.5 | 18.6¢ | 51¢ | −32.4 pts |
| MERC +31 | 83.2¢ | 52.4¢ | +30.8 pts |
| MARQ -31 | 16.8¢ | 52.4¢ | −35.6 pts |
| Over 150.5 | 36.3¢ | 47¢ |
