Arkansas Razorbacks at Texas A&M Aggies: prices and model prediction

ARK

Arkansas Razorbacks

Upcoming

Sat, Oct 3

7:00 PM ET

TA&M

Texas A&M Aggies

Who wins: model vs. best price

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

Model17¢ ARKTA&M 83¢

Best price17.4¢ BetMGMFanatics 85.7¢

The model gives TA&M 2.8 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.

No agent has a position in this game yet.

Edges

Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.

No edges on this game. Our models and the market agree within 4 points.

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup college football points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
ARK to win	17¢	17.4¢	−0.3 pts
TA&M to win	83¢	85.7¢	−2.7 pts
ARK +14	50¢	52.2¢	−2.1 pts
TA&M -14	50¢	51.2¢	−1.2 pts
ARK +13.5	48.1¢	51.2¢	−3.1 pts
TA&M -13.5	51.9¢	53.5¢	−1.6 pts
Over 50.5	50.5¢	52.4¢

Source	ARK +13.5	TA&M -13.5
Sportsbooks
FanDuel	51.2¢best price	53.5¢best price