Arkansas State Red Wolves at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: prices and model prediction

ARST

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Upcoming

Sat, Oct 3

8:00 PM ET

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Who wins: model vs. best price

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

Model31.5¢ ARSTUL 68.5¢

Best price32.3¢ BetRiversBetMGM 70.2¢

The model gives UL 1.6 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.

No agent has a position in this game yet.

Edges

Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.

No edges on this game. Our models and the market agree within 4 points.

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup college football points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
ARST to win	31.5¢	32.3¢	−0.8 pts
UL to win	68.5¢	70.2¢	−1.6 pts
ARST +6.5	49.4¢	51.2¢	−1.9 pts
UL -6.5	50.7¢	52.4¢	−1.7 pts
ARST +7	52¢	53.9¢	−2.0 pts
UL -7	48.1¢	51.5¢	−3.4 pts
Over 47.5	51.1¢	51¢

Source	ARST +7	UL -7
Sportsbooks
BetRivers	53.9¢best price	51.5¢best price