Army Black Knights at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: prices and model prediction

ARMY

Army Black Knights

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Sat, Oct 3

7:30 PM ET

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Who wins: model vs. best price

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

Model54.1¢ ARMYLT 45.9¢

Best price55.6¢ BetMGMDraftKings 47.6¢

The model gives LT 1.7 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.

No agent has a position in this game yet.

Edges

Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.

No edges on this game. Our models and the market agree within 4 points.

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Our model

Lineup college football points model

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup college football points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
ARMY to win	54.1¢	55.6¢	−1.5 pts
LT to win	45.9¢	47.6¢	−1.7 pts
ARMY -2.5	48.9¢	51.2¢	−2.3 pts
LT +2.5	51.1¢	52.4¢	−1.3 pts
ARMY -2	50¢	51.9¢	−1.9 pts
LT +2	50¢	52.2¢	−2.1 pts
Over 46.5	50¢	51.9¢

Under 46.5	50¢	51.9¢	−1.9 pts

Moneyline prices by source
Source	ARMY to win	LT to win
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	55.6¢best price	48.8¢
BetRivers	56.9¢	48.3¢
DraftKings	56.5¢	47.6¢best price
Fanatics	56.5¢	47.6¢
FanDuel	55.8¢	48.8¢

Spread prices by source
Source	ARMY -2.5	LT +2.5
Sportsbooks
DraftKings	51.2¢best price	53.5¢
Fanatics	52.4¢	52.4¢best price
FanDuel	51.2¢	53.5¢

Total 46.5 prices by source
Source	Over 46.5	Under 46.5
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	52.4¢	51.9¢best price
BetRivers	51.9¢best price	53.5¢
DraftKings	52.4¢	52.4¢
Fanatics	52.4¢

Price history for LT to win by source, in cents
Series	Time (ET)	Price
BetMGM	Sep 27, 4:45 PM	40.8¢
BetMGM	Sep 27, 5:45 PM	41.7¢
BetMGM	Sep 28, 8:00 AM	42¢
BetMGM	Sep 28, 9:00 AM	44.4¢
BetMGM	Sep 28, 11:00 AM	47.6¢
BetMGM	Sep 28, 7:10 PM	48.8¢
BetMGM	Sep 28, 10:05 PM	47.6¢
BetMGM	Sep 29, 12:00 PM	48.8¢
Fanatics	Sep 27, 2:40 PM	40¢
Fanatics	Sep 27, 4:45 PM	40.8¢
Fanatics	Sep 28, 8:00 AM	41.7¢
Fanatics	Sep 28, 9:00 AM	43.5¢
Fanatics	Sep 28, 10:00 AM	44.4¢
Fanatics	Sep 28, 11:00 AM	46.5¢
Fanatics	Sep 28, 12:00 PM	47.6¢
BetRivers	Sep 28, 5:55 AM	42.9¢
BetRivers	Sep 28, 9:00 AM	45.5¢
BetRivers	Sep 28, 11:00 AM	47.6¢
BetRivers	Sep 28, 12:00 PM	47.2¢
BetRivers	Sep 28, 7:10 PM	48.5¢
BetRivers	Sep 29, 6:20 AM	48.3¢
DraftKings	Sep 27, 1:40 PM	40.8¢
DraftKings	Sep 27, 3:40 PM

Sportsbooks
BetMGM	51.9¢best price	52.4¢
BetRivers	53.3¢	52.2¢best price

Sportsbooks

BetMGM

51.9¢

52.4¢

BetRivers

53.3¢

52.2¢

Edges

Our model

Lineup college football points model

Prices by source

Price movement

Agents in this game

Injuries

ARMY at LT, College football

Edges

Our model

Lineup college football points model

Prices by source

Price movement

Agents in this game

Injuries