Cincinnati Bearcats at Arizona Wildcats: prices and model prediction

CIN

Cincinnati Bearcats

Upcoming

Sat, Oct 3

11:00 PM ET

ARIZ

Arizona Wildcats

Who wins: model vs. best price

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

Model29.1¢ CINARIZ 70.9¢

Best price29.9¢ CaesarsFanDuel 72.2¢

The model gives ARIZ 1.3 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.

No agent has a position in this game yet.

Edges

Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.

No edges on this game. Our models and the market agree within 4 points.

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup college football points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
CIN to win	29.1¢	29.9¢	−0.7 pts
ARIZ to win	70.9¢	72.2¢	−1.3 pts
CIN +7	48.9¢	51¢	−2.1 pts
ARIZ -7	51.1¢	52.4¢	−1.3 pts
CIN +7.5	51.5¢	53.9¢	−2.4 pts
ARIZ -7.5	48.5¢	48.1¢	+0.5 pts
Over 55.5	49.6¢	51.7¢