Eastern Michigan Eagles at Massachusetts Minutemen: prices and model prediction

EMU

Eastern Michigan Eagles

Upcoming

Sat, Oct 3

3:30 PM ET

MASS

Massachusetts Minutemen

Who wins: model vs. best price

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

Model32.6¢ EMUMASS 67.4¢

Best price33.9¢ BetMGMBetMGM 70.2¢

Best price on both sides: BetMGM. The model gives MASS 2.7 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.

No agent has a position in this game yet.

Edges

Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.

No edges on this game. Our models and the market agree within 4 points.

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup college football points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
EMU to win	32.6¢	33.9¢	−1.3 pts
MASS to win	67.4¢	70.2¢	−2.7 pts
EMU +6.5	50¢	52.4¢	−2.4 pts
MASS -6.5	50¢	51.2¢	−1.2 pts
EMU +6	48.7¢	51.9¢	−3.2 pts
MASS -6	51.3¢	53.5¢	−2.2 pts
Over 48.5	50¢	52.4¢

Source	EMU +6	MASS -6
Sportsbooks
BetRivers	51.9¢best price	53.5¢best price

Source	Over 49.5	Under 49.5
Sportsbooks
FanDuel	51.5¢best price	53.3¢best price