Fresno State Bulldogs at Washington State Cougars: prices and model prediction

FRES

Fresno State Bulldogs

Upcoming

Sat, Oct 3

9:30 PM ET

WSU

Washington State Cougars

Who wins: model vs. best price

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

Model46.8¢ FRESWSU 53.3¢

Best price47.6¢ FanaticsBetMGM 55.6¢

The model gives WSU 2.3 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.

No agent has a position in this game yet.

Edges

Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.

No edges on this game. Our models and the market agree within 4 points.

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup college football points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
FRES to win	46.8¢	47.6¢	−0.9 pts
WSU to win	53.3¢	55.6¢	−2.3 pts
FRES +2.5	50¢	52.4¢	−2.4 pts
WSU -2.5	50¢	51.2¢	−1.2 pts
Over 45.5	50¢	52.4¢	−2.4 pts
Under 45.5	50¢	51.2¢	−1.2 pts

The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.