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The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Prices stopped updating at the start of the game: we collect pregame prices.
Player props show the best price per side on each player's main line.
Yes-only props (like anytime scorer) aren't shown yet.
Ask the Analyst: Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 7 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 35 |
| KSU | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOU to win | 44.4¢ | 44¢ | +0.4 pts |
| KSU to win | 55.6¢ | 56¢ | −0.4 pts |
| HOU +2.5 | 50¢ | 49¢ | +1.0 pts |
| KSU -2.5 | 50¢ | 52¢ | −2.0 pts |
| Over 55.5 | 48¢ | 48¢ | 0.0 pts |
| Under 55.5 | 52¢ | 52¢ | 0.0 pts |
| Over 54.5 | 50.7¢ | 52.4¢ | −1.7 pts |
| Under 54.5 | 49.4¢ | 48¢ | +1.4 pts |
| Over 55 | 49.3¢ | 52.4¢ | −3.1 pts |
| Under 55 | 50.7¢ | 53.1¢ | −2.4 pts |
| Source | HOU to win | KSU to win |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||
| Kalshi | 45¢ | 56¢best price |
| Polymarket | 44¢best price | 57¢ |
| Sportsbooks | ||
| BetMGM | 46.5¢ | 58.3¢ |
| BetRivers | 47.2¢ | 58.2¢ |
| Caesars | 45.5¢ | 59.2¢ |
| DraftKings | 45.5¢ | 58.7¢ |
| Fanatics | 46.5¢ | 58.3¢ |
| FanDuel | 47.6¢ | 56.9¢ |
| Source | HOU +2.5 | KSU -2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||
| Kalshi | 49¢best price | 52¢best price |
| Polymarket | 49¢ | 52¢ |
| Sportsbooks | ||
| BetMGM | 52.4¢ | 52.4¢ |
| BetRivers | ||
| Source | Over 55.5 | Under 55.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||
| Kalshi | 48¢best price | 53¢ |
| Polymarket | 49¢ | 52¢best price |
| Sportsbooks | ||
| Caesars | 51.5¢ | 53.3¢ |
| DraftKings | ||

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| Series | Time (ET) | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | Oct 8, 3:31 PM | 56¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 9, 8:31 PM | 55¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 10, 7:46 AM | 56¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 10, 2:55 PM | 57¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 10, 3:00 PM | 56¢ |
| Polymarket | Oct 10, 3:10 PM | 57¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 8, 3:31 PM | 56¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 8, 4:01 PM | 55¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 8, 4:51 PM | 56¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 8, 5:06 PM | 55¢ |
| Kalshi | Oct 10, 2:45 PM | 56¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 4, 10:26 AM | 56.5¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 4, 11:26 AM | 57.5¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 4, 12:26 PM | 56.5¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 4, 1:26 PM | 57.5¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 4, 4:31 PM | 58.3¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 5, 10:46 AM | 59.2¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 5, 3:51 PM | 58.3¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 7, 8:31 AM | 57.5¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 7, 11:36 AM | 58.3¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 7, 2:06 PM | 57.5¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 7, 4:56 PM | 58.3¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 7, 8:31 PM | 57.5¢ |
| Player | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amare Thomas | 59.5 | 53.5¢BetMGM | 53.5¢BetMGM |
| Garrett Oakley | 35.5 | 53.5¢BetMGM | 53.5¢BetMGM |
| Jaron Tibbs | 42.5 | 53.5¢BetMGM | 53.5¢BetMGM |
| Josh Manning | 35.5 | 53.5¢BetMGM | 53.5¢BetMGM |
| Patrick Overmyer | 49.5 | 53.5¢BetMGM | 53.5¢BetMGM |
| Trent Walker | 38.5 | 53.5¢BetMGM | 53.5¢BetMGM |
| Player | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Johnson | 41.5 | 54.6¢BetMGM | 52.6¢BetMGM |
| Conner Weigman | 41.5 | 53.5¢BetMGM | 53.5¢BetMGM |
| Joe Jackson | 53.5 | 52.6¢BetMGM |
| Player | Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Johnson | 225.5 | 53.5¢BetMGM | 53.5¢BetMGM |
| Conner Weigman | 221.5 | 53.5¢BetMGM | 53.5¢BetMGM |
None.
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Prices from Kalshi, Polymarket and sportsbooks via our data provider. Paper trades only.
| 52.8¢ |
| Caesars | 52.4¢ | 52.4¢ |
|---|
| DraftKings | 51.2¢ | 53.5¢ |
|---|
| Fanatics | 51.2¢ | 53.5¢ |
|---|
| FanDuel | 52.4¢ | 52.4¢ |
|---|
| 53.5¢ |
| Fanatics | 51.2¢ | 53.5¢ |
|---|
| FanDuel | 51.9¢ | 52.8¢ |
|---|
Total 54.5
| Source | Over 54.5 | Under 54.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Exchanges | ||
| Kalshi | 54¢ | 48¢best price |
| Sportsbooks | ||
| BetMGM | 52.4¢best price | 52.4¢ |
Total 55
| Source | Over 55 | Under 55 |
|---|---|---|
| Sportsbooks | ||
| BetRivers | 52.4¢best price | 53.1¢best price |
| BetMGM |
| Oct 8, 11:56 AM |
| 59.2¢ |
| BetMGM | Oct 10, 9:36 AM | 58.3¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 4, 8:21 AM | 57.8¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 5, 9:46 AM | 58.2¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 5, 11:51 AM | 57.8¢ |
| BetRivers | Oct 8, 5:16 AM | 58.2¢ |
| Makhi Hughes | 59.5 | 53.5¢BetMGM | 53.5¢BetMGM |
|---|
| Rodney Fields Jr. | 49.5 | 53.5¢BetMGM | 53.5¢BetMGM |
|---|