Indiana Hoosiers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights: prices and model prediction

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Indiana Hoosiers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights: prices and model prediction

IU

IU

Indiana Hoosiers

Upcoming

Sat, Oct 3

8:00 PM ET

at

RUTG

RUTG

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Who wins: model vs. best price

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

Model93.2¢ IURUTG 6.8¢

Best price96¢ DraftKingsBetMGM 6.7¢

The model gives IU 2.8 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.

No agent has a position in this game yet.

Edges

Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.

No edges on this game. Our models and the market agree within 4 points.

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Our model

Lineup college football points model

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup college football points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
IU to win	93.2¢	96¢	−2.8 pts
RUTG to win	6.8¢	6.7¢	+0.1 pts
IU -24	50.3¢	52.4¢	−2.1 pts
RUTG +24	49.7¢	51.7¢	−2.0 pts
IU -24.5	48.9¢	51¢	−2.1 pts
RUTG +24.5	51.1¢	53.5¢	−2.4 pts
Over 55.5	50.9¢	52.8¢

Prices by source

Lowest price is best

Moneyline prices by source
Source	IU to win	RUTG to win
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	96.2¢	6.7¢best price
BetRivers	98¢	7.1¢
DraftKings	96¢best price	7.7¢
Fanatics	96.2¢	7.1¢
FanDuel	97.6¢	6.7¢

Spread prices by source
Source	IU -24	RUTG +24
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	52.8¢	51.9¢
BetRivers	52.4¢best price	53.1¢
Caesars	53.1¢	51.7¢best price

1 more line

IU -24.5 / RUTG +24.5

Exchange prices are midpoints; sportsbook prices include their margin.

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Price movement

RUTG to win

Price history for RUTG to win by source, in cents
Series	Time (ET)	Price
BetMGM	Sep 27, 4:45 PM	7.1¢
BetMGM	Sep 27, 5:45 PM	7.4¢
BetMGM	Sep 27, 7:45 PM	7.1¢
BetMGM	Sep 28, 8:00 AM	6.9¢
BetMGM	Sep 28, 9:00 AM	6.7¢
BetMGM	Sep 28, 10:00 AM	6.1¢
BetMGM	Sep 28, 11:00 AM	7.1¢
BetMGM	Sep 29, 3:00 PM	6.7¢
DraftKings	Sep 27, 1:30 AM	7.1¢
DraftKings	Sep 27, 1:35 AM	6.7¢
DraftKings	Sep 27, 1:45 AM	7.7¢
DraftKings	Sep 27, 1:50 AM	7.1¢
DraftKings	Sep 27, 4:45 PM	7.7¢
DraftKings	Sep 27, 8:45 PM	8.3¢
DraftKings	Sep 28, 12:00 PM	7.7¢
Fanatics	Sep 27, 11:40 AM	6.7¢
Fanatics	Sep 27, 4:45 PM	7.1¢
Fanatics	Sep 27, 8:45 PM	7.7¢
Fanatics	Sep 29, 9:25 AM	7.1¢
BetRivers	Sep 27, 9:35 AM	8¢
BetRivers	Sep 27, 8:45 PM	7.1¢