Michigan State Spartans at Wisconsin Badgers: prices and model prediction

MSU

Michigan State Spartans

Upcoming

Sat, Oct 3

12:30 PM ET

WIS

Wisconsin Badgers

Who wins: model vs. best price

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

Model23.2¢ MSUWIS 76.9¢

Best price23.8¢ BetMGMFanDuel 79¢

The model gives WIS 2.1 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.

No agent has a position in this game yet.

Edges

Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.

No edges on this game. Our models and the market agree within 4 points.

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup college football points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
MSU to win	23.2¢	23.8¢	−0.7 pts
WIS to win	76.9¢	79¢	−2.1 pts
MSU +10	49.6¢	50.5¢	−0.9 pts
WIS -10	50.4¢	52.4¢	−2.0 pts
MSU +10.5	51.3¢	53.5¢	−2.2 pts
WIS -10.5	48.7¢	51.2¢	−2.5 pts
MSU +9.5	48¢	51¢

Source	MSU +10.5	WIS -10.5
Sportsbooks
Fanatics	53.5¢best price	51.2¢best price