Michigan Wolverines at Minnesota Golden Gophers: prices and model prediction

MICH

Michigan Wolverines

Upcoming

Sat, Oct 3

12:00 PM ET

MINN

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Who wins: model vs. best price

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

Model65.8¢ MICHMINN 34.2¢

Best price68.3¢ FanDuelDraftKings 35.1¢

The model gives MICH 2.4 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.

No agent has a position in this game yet.

Edges

Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.

No edges on this game. Our models and the market agree within 4 points.

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup college football points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
MICH to win	65.8¢	68.3¢	−2.4 pts
MINN to win	34.2¢	35.1¢	−0.9 pts
MICH -5.5	50¢	51.9¢	−1.9 pts
MINN +5.5	50¢	52.4¢	−2.4 pts
Over 43.5	49.7¢	51.2¢	−1.5 pts
Under 43.5	50.3¢	51.9¢	−1.6 pts

The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.