UNC at DUKE, College football
No edge from our model in this game.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup college football points modelExperimental
Model41.6¢ UNCDUKE 58.4¢
Best price42¢ PolymarketKalshi 58¢
Track who winsUNC 42¢DUKE 58¢
Partner offer
Kalshi
Trade $25 and Get $25!
Claim offer
Use code LINEUP
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
How this works
The model and the best price agree within a point. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Yes-only props (like anytime scorer) aren't shown yet.
Injuries show the reports since we started tracking them.
Ask the Analyst: Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Our model
Lineup college football points model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC to win | 41.6¢ | 42¢ | −0.4 pts |
| DUKE to win | 58.4¢ | 58¢ | +0.4 pts |
| UNC +3 | 49.7¢ | 51.5¢ | −1.7 pts |
| DUKE -3 | 50.3¢ | 52.4¢ | −2.1 pts |
| UNC +3.5 | 52.7¢ | 55¢ | −2.3 pts |
| DUKE -3.5 | 47.3¢ | 46¢ | +1.3 pts |
| Over 46.5 | 50.8¢ | 50¢ | +0.8 pts |
