North Texas Mean Green at Tulsa Golden Hurricane: prices and model prediction

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North Texas Mean Green at Tulsa Golden Hurricane: prices and model prediction

UNT

UNT

North Texas Mean Green

Upcoming

Thu, Oct 1

9:00 PM ET

at

TLSA

TLSA

Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Who wins: model vs. best price

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

Model48.8¢ UNTTLSA 51.2¢

Best price50¢ CaesarsDraftKings 52.8¢

The model gives TLSA 1.6 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.

No agent has a position in this game yet.

Edges

Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.

No edges on this game. Our models and the market agree within 4 points.

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Our model

Lineup college football points model

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup college football points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
UNT to win	48.8¢	50¢	−1.2 pts
TLSA to win	51.2¢	52.8¢	−1.6 pts
UNT +1	50.2¢	52.4¢	−2.2 pts
TLSA -1	49.8¢	51.9¢	−2.1 pts
UNT +1.5	51.5¢	52.4¢	−0.9 pts
TLSA -1.5	48.5¢	50¢	−1.5 pts
Over 57.5	50¢	51.9¢

Prices by source

Lowest price is best

Moneyline prices by source
Source	UNT to win	TLSA to win
Sportsbooks
BetMGM	51.2¢	53.5¢
BetRivers	51.2¢	54.1¢
Caesars	50¢best price	54.1¢
DraftKings	51.9¢	52.8¢best price
Fanatics	51.2¢	53.5¢
FanDuel	50.5¢	54.1¢

Exchange prices are midpoints; sportsbook prices include their margin.

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Price movement

TLSA to win

Price history for TLSA to win by source, in cents
Series	Time (ET)	Price
BetMGM	Sep 27, 3:40 PM	58.3¢
BetMGM	Sep 27, 4:45 PM	56.5¢
BetMGM	Sep 27, 7:45 PM	55.6¢
BetMGM	Sep 27, 8:45 PM	56.5¢
BetMGM	Sep 28, 2:55 AM	55.6¢
BetMGM	Sep 28, 6:55 AM	54.6¢
BetMGM	Sep 28, 8:00 AM	55.6¢
BetMGM	Sep 28, 9:00 AM	54.1¢
BetMGM	Sep 28, 11:00 AM	53.5¢
BetMGM	Sep 28, 1:05 PM	54.1¢
BetMGM	Sep 29, 12:15 AM	53.5¢
BetMGM	Sep 29, 1:15 AM	54.1¢
BetMGM	Sep 29, 2:15 AM	52.8¢
BetMGM	Sep 29, 7:20 AM	53.5¢
BetMGM	Sep 29, 11:00 AM	54.1¢
BetMGM	Sep 29, 1:00 PM	53.5¢
BetMGM	Sep 29, 4:05 PM	52.8¢
BetMGM	Sep 29, 6:05 PM	53.5¢
DraftKings	Sep 27, 10:35 AM	52.8¢
DraftKings	Sep 27, 1:40 PM	55¢
DraftKings	Sep 27, 2:40 PM	57.5¢
DraftKings	Sep 27, 3:40 PM	58.7¢
DraftKings	Sep 27, 4:45 PM	57.5¢