Notre Dame Fighting Irish at North Carolina Tar Heels: prices and model prediction

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Upcoming

Sat, Oct 3

12:00 PM ET

UNC

North Carolina Tar Heels

Who wins: model vs. best price

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

Model92¢ NDUNC 8.1¢

Best price94.3¢ DraftKingsBetRivers 7.1¢

The model gives ND 2.3 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.

No agent has a position in this game yet.

Edges

Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.

No edges on this game. Our models and the market agree within 4 points.

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup college football points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
ND to win	92¢	94.3¢	−2.3 pts
UNC to win	8.1¢	7.1¢	+0.9 pts
ND -21	50¢	52.4¢	−2.4 pts
UNC +21	50¢	51.9¢	−1.9 pts
ND -21.5	48.6¢	50.5¢	−1.9 pts
UNC +21.5	51.4¢	53.1¢	−1.7 pts
Over 47.5	49.9¢	51.2¢

Sportsbooks
BetRivers	52.4¢	53.1¢best price
FanDuel	50.5¢best price	54.6¢

Source	Over 47	Under 47
Sportsbooks
BetRivers	53.5¢best price	51.9¢best price