Ohio State Buckeyes at Iowa Hawkeyes: prices and model prediction

OSU

Ohio State Buckeyes

Upcoming

Sat, Oct 3

3:30 PM ET

IOWA

Iowa Hawkeyes

Who wins: model vs. best price

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

Model82.9¢ OSUIOWA 17.1¢

Best price85.7¢ DraftKingsFanDuel 16.7¢

The model gives OSU 2.8 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.

No agent has a position in this game yet.

Edges

Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.

No edges on this game. Our models and the market agree within 4 points.

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup college football points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
OSU to win	82.9¢	85.7¢	−2.8 pts
IOWA to win	17.1¢	16.7¢	+0.4 pts
OSU -14	50.4¢	52.4¢	−1.9 pts
IOWA +14	49.6¢	51.2¢	−1.6 pts
OSU -14.5	48.5¢	51.2¢	−2.7 pts
IOWA +14.5	51.5¢	53.5¢	−2.0 pts
Over 45.5	50¢	52.4¢

Source	Over 46	Under 46
Sportsbooks
BetRivers	52.8¢best price	52.8¢best price