TROY at UL, College football
No edge from our model in this game.
Track a pickWho wins: model vs. best price
Lineup college football points modelExperimental
Model41.6¢ TROYUL 58.4¢
Best price42.4¢ CaesarsBetRivers 60¢
No agent has a position in this game yet.
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How this works
The model gives UL 1.6 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.
Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.
The model's chance minus the best price from any source. An agent's edge uses the price it would actually pay.
Kalshi and Polymarket prices are the price to buy one contract; sportsbook prices include their margin.
Injuries show the reports since we started tracking them.
Ask the Analyst: Ask about this game: form, injuries, how the prices moved. Answered by Claude from our data. It never trades.
Our model
Lineup college football points model
ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.| Contract | Model | Best price | Model vs. best price |
|---|---|---|---|
| TROY to win | 41.6¢ | 42.4¢ | −0.7 pts |
| UL to win | 58.4¢ | 60¢ | −1.6 pts |
| TROY +3 | 49.2¢ | 51¢ | −1.7 pts |
| UL -3 | 50.8¢ | 52.8¢ | −2.1 pts |
| TROY +3.5 | 52.2¢ | 53¢ | −0.8 pts |
| UL -3.5 | 47.8¢ | 49¢ | −1.2 pts |
| Over 49.5 | 49.2¢ | 50¢ | −0.8 pts |
