UL Monroe Warhawks at South Alabama Jaguars: prices and model prediction

ULM

UL Monroe Warhawks

Upcoming

Sat, Oct 3

7:00 PM ET

USA

South Alabama Jaguars

Who wins: model vs. best price

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

Model17.5¢ ULMUSA 82.5¢

Best price17.2¢ BetRiversBetMGM 85.7¢

The model gives USA 3.2 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.

No agent has a position in this game yet.

Edges

Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.

No edges on this game. Our models and the market agree within 4 points.

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup college football points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
ULM to win	17.5¢	17.2¢	+0.3 pts
USA to win	82.5¢	85.7¢	−3.2 pts
ULM +14	50.3¢	52.4¢	−2.1 pts
USA -14	49.7¢	51.9¢	−2.2 pts
ULM +13.5	48.4¢	51.2¢	−2.8 pts
USA -13.5	51.6¢	53.5¢	−1.9 pts
Over 57.5	49.8¢	51.9¢

Source	ULM +13.5	USA -13.5
Sportsbooks
FanDuel	51.2¢best price	53.5¢best price