UTEP Miners at New Mexico Lobos: prices and model prediction

UTEP

UTEP Miners

Upcoming

Sat, Oct 3

4:00 PM ET

UNM

New Mexico Lobos

Who wins: model vs. best price

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

Model7.6¢ UTEPUNM 92.4¢

Best price7.1¢ BetRiversFanatics 94.7¢

The model gives UNM 2.3 pts less than the best price. This model hasn't beaten market prices yet.

No agent has a position in this game yet.

Edges

Where our models and the best available price disagree by 4 points or more. Paper trades only.

No edges on this game. Our models and the market agree within 4 points.

Lineup college football points modelExperimental

This model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

ExperimentalThis model hasn't beaten market prices yet. It runs with the owner's approval while we test it live.

Lineup college football points model: probability, best price and model vs. best price per contract
Contract	Model	Best price	Model vs. best price
UTEP to win	7.6¢	7.1¢	+0.5 pts
UNM to win	92.4¢	94.7¢	−2.3 pts
UTEP +22.5	49.9¢	51.9¢	−2.0 pts
UNM -22.5	50.1¢	52.4¢	−2.3 pts
UTEP +23.5	52.6¢	52.4¢	+0.3 pts
UNM -23.5	47.4¢	53.1¢	−5.7 pts
Over 48.5	50.8¢	52.8¢

Source	UTEP +23.5	UNM -23.5
Sportsbooks
BetRivers	52.4¢best price	53.1¢best price

Source	Over 49	Under 49
Sportsbooks
Fanatics	52.4¢best price	52.4¢best price